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Nvidia’s $4 Trillion Surge Nears Records as Earnings and Deals Drive Rally

Nvidia has pushed its market value toward $4 trillion as fresh customer deals and bullish forecasts send NVDA shares close to record highs. With a crucial earnings report due Nov. 19, investors must weigh sky-high expectations against supply constraints and consider pairing AI growth exposure with defensive income plays.

Dr. Elena Rodriguez3 min read
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Nvidia’s $4 Trillion Surge Nears Records as Earnings and Deals Drive Rally
Nvidia’s $4 Trillion Surge Nears Records as Earnings and Deals Drive Rally

Nvidia’s share price has surged again, lifting the chipmaker toward a roughly $4 trillion valuation as investors digest a wave of new deals and optimistic forecasts that have reignited enthusiasm for artificial intelligence hardware. The company’s dominance in AI processors has turned its quarterly results into one of the most anticipated events on Wall Street, and the next report — Nvidia’s Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings on Nov. 19 — is poised to be a market-moving moment.

Analysts expect another quarter of eye-popping growth, and much of the market’s current positioning reflects hopes that Nvidia will not only beat near-term estimates but also provide aggressive guidance for coming quarters. If the company delivers strong results and upbeat guidance for Q4, the stock could extend its rally into year-end. Conversely, any signal of growth deceleration — even for understandable reasons such as supply constraints — could trigger sharp volatility, given the lofty expectations already priced into the shares.

The market’s fixation on Nvidia is reshaping investor strategy conversations. A recent advisory piece on portfolio allocation suggested that investors balancing a hypothetical $50,000 should marry growth exposure with defensive income. Alphabet was cited as a growth complement, positioned to capitalize on surging AI adoption through Google Cloud, Waymo and advances in quantum AI. For a more defensive anchor, Dominion Energy was recommended for its dividend and a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 17, along with strategic exposure to rising data-center energy demand in Virginia and nearby regions.

Smaller-cap moves show how varied market drivers can be. Harmony Biosciences Holdings jumped 12.7 percent in the latest session, closing at $29.60 after preliminary third-quarter results. Wakix (pitolisant) revenue was reported at approximately $239 million, up 29 percent year over year, and the company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $845 million to $865 million from a prior $820 million to $860 million. Harmony is scheduled to report full Q3 results on Nov. 4; consensus expectations ahead of that release call for earnings per share of $0.83 and revenue near $221 million, both representing year-over-year gains.

The concentration of capital in a handful of AI leaders raises broader market and policy questions. Heavy valuation premiums increase the stakes of quarterly reports and guidance, amplifying short-term volatility even as the underlying industry transforms data centers, cloud services and AI applications across sectors. Supply chains for advanced chips and the energy requirements of vast AI infrastructures are becoming central operational constraints, influencing both corporate forecasts and public debates about grid capacity and investment in transmission.

For investors and policymakers alike, the near-term test will be whether corporate reporting validates the optimistic narratives and whether infrastructure and supply-side investments can keep pace with demand. As Nvidia prepares to report in mid-November, its results will not only move markets but also serve as a barometer for how fast and sustainably the AI revolution can scale.

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